I dont think a poll with 15k participants is that huge when compared to that the copies sold is calculated in millions when talking about bigger franchises/brands.Actually, given a sufficiently random sample, 15,000 participants is more than enough in this situation. Since the error goes as the inverse square root of the sample size, the error here is about 0.8%, which for a proportion of 29% is very reasonable. Granted, since Halo Infinite and Borderlands are within the margin of error, the conclusion "Halo Infinite beats Borderlands 3 in anticipation" isn't very strong.
In any case, I'm just saying that if you're going to criticize a poll, at least have the necessary understanding of statistics to ensure that your criticism is valid. Now, questioning the randomness of the sample—i.e., whether it has any bias in favor of Halo fans—would at least be a valid criticism, but since it's IGN which doesn't have any obvious bias to specific games, that criticism isn't very strong either.
The thing is that I have seen multiple polls that are just fraction of the voter base of this one when compared to the overall consumer base of the product itself & end up completely wrong, also, I dont get what "IGN which doesn't have any obvious bias to specific games" would you be referrring about with that part given this particular poll seems to be about the reader base of the IGN which consists likely of various people which I wont comment further to avoid straying from civilized discussion for this is public message & anyone can twist original meaning.
And I wont be setting examples of polls being entirely wrong to avoid politics in discussions, take that as you will. Anyhow political discussions are buried in this site. So it's yet another thing to avoid.
So I dont still really trust polls made in such numbers that are little fraction of the entire playerbase of even the less selling installments of the franchise. Even in the case that they are made by well known "gaming journalist" sites which have more or less established reader base.
So even in these more known sites, perhaps even more so than new ones, certain kind of mindset towards certain games are set for it's impossible (though near impossible if you believe in universe of endless possibilities) to remain absolutely neutral towards any form of media that games are a part of.
Good of you to bring mathematical side to the discussion but I doubt the base of that calculus which leans to the assumption that the poll would have equal parts of the different views in the whole consumer base.
But what do you think of the psychological side that certain mindsets are drawn to certain types form of media that could have an effect on the ending result of a poll on certain site?
And before stating something like "I'm just saying that if you're going to criticize a poll, at least have the necessary understanding of statistics to ensure that your criticism is valid." then could you at least try to see some form of response to avoid anything too personal in form of seemingly trying to dimish the point by simple fact of using different form of calculis in making of a first impressions concerning the topics & the view of validity of polls?
And im not saying that the result of the poll is absolutely 100% wrong, im just doubting that it's accurately so in the minds of "gamers" in this particular moment in the scale that it's represented in the poll at hand.
Mathematically though, I would definitely expect Halo to be more anticipated by numbers, doubting point being the % of overall fanbase.
So the overall factor of "anticipation" has multiple viewpoints which all could have differing results, which is, from psychological viewpoint, somewhat fascinating.